I am currently on a several day stormchasing excursion and right now sitting in Liberal, KS after chasing some severe storms in the TX panhandle yesterday. We are currently watching how things may unfold later this afternoon and this evening in regards to today’s potential setup.
The bottom line is, we have a significant late May storm system that is vigorously developing across the Rocky mountains early this afternoon. Out ahead of it, warm, moist air is streaming northward while a dryline is sharpening across the western high Plains.
As the wind fields, moisture, and upper dynamics come together late this afternoon and into this evening there is the possibility of isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms developing along the dryline. This will, however, be strongly dependent on the strength of the “capping” layer over the region right now and whether or not it will weaken sufficiently to allow for storms to get going. If it does, severe storm development is very likely, and combined with all of the other parameters large hail, strong wind gusts, and possibly even tornadoes are a very high certainty. The areas under the gun would be from portions of Nebraska southwestward across the western and west-central portions of Kansas, south into the Panhandle and northwestern part of OK on down into the eastern TX panhandle and maybe even western Oklahoma for later this afternoon and this evening.
Then tomorrow, a lot of trends in the prognostics and observations are pointing toward another potentially very active day, with the severe weather risk more widespread and shifted into a large portion of Kansas, the panhandle of TX, and perhaps more significantly for us the western to northwestern half of the state of Oklahoma. Tomorrow’s setup, if it came together with all parameters, would be a significant and potentially dangerous one for the area and you will want to definitely stay tuned to the very latest as more information becomes available!
Keep it tuned to Eyewitness News 5 during this period of very active Spring weather.