As we close the book on April and enter May, we also enter what is typically the most active part of storm season. Our mind sets up a “default” where anytime there is a chance for thunderstorms, there is the potential for severe weather.
Tomorrow is no exception. There is a chance for thunderstorms. In central Oklahoma, that chance isn’t very high (20-30%). The better chance for rain will be in eastern Oklahoma. That’s also where the higher chance for severe weather will be.
The trigger will be a dryline and cold front. It will be another windy day, but perhaps not as windy as today. In southwestern Oklahoma, behind the dryline (where the warmest and driest air will be), the fire danger will be extremely high. Temperatures in the southwest will likely make the 90s. Ahead of the dryline and cold front, a few storms should develop. As we look at the severe weather parameters, it appears the greater chance for severe weather will be northeast of Oklahoma City.
Right now, the weekend looks dry, with below normal temperatures. Thunderstorm chances will return as we go back to work on Monday.