The rain and storms are done for today in our part of Oklahoma, but storms, and even severe weather is still possible in extreme Eastern Oklahoma through tonight.
A tornado watch has been issued that does in include a small section of Eastern Oklahoma until 8pm this evening.
Storms continue to intensify on the slow moving cold front which moved through our area overnight. With moderate instability and good shear, supercells are likely within the watch area. Large hail and tornadoes will both be threats.
For the weekend, the models were all over the place yesterday and didn’t seem to have a good handle on the synoptic setup over us. Today, they seem to be agreeing much more.
It looks to me like moisture will begin to stream (or rather trickle) back into the area Saturday. As the atmosphere cools and a upper-level kicker moves through, showers and a few storms should develop Saturday evening, and last overnight and into Sunday morning.
It’s hard to pinpoint what part of the state has the best chance right now, it looks like showers could breakout literally anywhere, given the enviroment. I’d broadbrush a 30%-40% for us.
Rain should be coming to an end Sunday morning, with dry conditions for Sunday afternoon. Thankfully, after gusty winds again this afternoon, the winds should relax this weekend.