Archive for December, 2009

Tonight and A Look Back At 2009!
December 31, 2009

Tonight will be cold! Dress warm if you are headed out for the evening. New Years Day looks pretty nice!

AND…A look back at 2009!!

Sarah

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Quick Burst of Snow
December 31, 2009

A fast moving winter storm will bring snow today to parts of the state. As of 10am, heavy snow was falling in Caddo county and areas near Lawton. This is heavy, wet snow is mainly melting on the roads, but I have had a report of it falling fast enough to start sticking to the road, especially bridges and overpasses.

The National Weather Service has expanded the Winter Weather Advisory east to include Caddo, Grady, McClain, Garvin and Stephens counties. The advisory is in effect until 6pm.

The snow will mainly affect Southwest Oklahoma from mid-morning until mid-afternoon. Accumulations will mainly be on grassy surfaces with a tight gradient from those who could see some accumulation to just trace amounts around the metro. The biggest problem will be reduced visibility because it will snow hard at times and the flakes will be big. Winds should remain light enough where blowing and drifting snow won’t be much of a concern.

The system moves so fast that skies will begin to clear in the metro in the early evening, leading to a cold, but dry forecast as we ring in the new year. I do want to caution everyone that temperatures will quickly fall below freezing tonight and that the refreeze of the snow melt on area roadways is likely. Please be careful driving tonight and bundle up if you are going to be outside.

Happy New Year!!!!!

Rusty

Tonight & New Years Forecast
December 30, 2009

Another slick night ahead.  With temps below freezing, we can’t let our guards down yet.  Most areas will be in the mid 20s by morning.  There may even be a little drizzle early in the morning in Southwest Oklahoma.  Also, with a few areas of Fog in North Central Oklahoma, that is enough to make the roads slick as well.  Not to mention just the roads being wet in general.  REALLY be careful tonight.

New Years Eve looks dry…but pretty CHILLY!!  Here is a look at what the temps will be at Midnight!!

And a look at the highs and lows for New Years Eve Day, New Years Eve…and New Years day.  If your confused by the 26 above and the 20 below…the 26 will be the temperature right at Midnight…but the temperature will keep dropping overnight and into early Friday.  Overnight lows typically hit early in the morning, so the 20 refers to the temperature that we will have to endure early Friday morning…or late late Thursday night, depending on how much of a party animal you are;-)

Be safe out there!!

Sarah

The Latest Timeline
December 29, 2009

Rick Mitchell is back!! Here is his latest timeline.

Sarah

Live Blog Now Running
December 29, 2009

I’ll be over on the Live Blog until noon answering questions and chatting with you. Feel free to hop on over and ask a question. There are some minor updates to the forecast, mainly with the timing of the storm. If you look at interactive radar, the winter storm is blossoming over central Texas. Most of the reports out of that area is light precip of some kind. Unlike the blizzard low, this storm looks to hold strength or slightly weaken as it moves northeast. The winds won’t also be as near of a factor as they were during the blizzard.

I’m going with widespread 1-2″ totals, with perhaps an isolated area over that. Up to 2″ may be too high for Northwest Oklahoma. There may also be minor sleet accumulation before the snow sets in. I think the rain/sleet mix could start in the mid-afternoon here in the metro, with the leading edge of snow hitting us between 6-7pm. Of course, there will be some snowflakes mixed in before 6pm.

Rusty

Tuesday Timeline
December 28, 2009

Here is the timeline for Tuesday.  If you are heading out in the morning, you will still have to deal with the slick roads we have been dealing with for the past 5 days.  We are not expecting the additional snow to push in, until late Tuesday afternoon.  Having said that, with all the melting that has occurred, ice is going to be a huge problem.  Please use extra caution, driving on ice is even harder than driving on snow.

I broke down the timeline for the state in 6 hour increments.

Here is NOON to 6PM

Tuesday 6PM-MIDNIGHT

Wednesday MIDNIGHT to 6AM

I have also broken down the Timeline for the Metro Area.

A quick look at Thursday shows you that we just have a slight chance for a few flurries.

Please be safe!

Sarah

A Big Thank You
December 28, 2009

It’s been a few days since the blizzard and I feel like I’m just catching my breath. I’m sure many of you feel the same way. What an incredible storm, and what an impact it had on many people and their Christmas plans.

I want to take a moment and thank those of you who contributed to our live blog during the blizzard. Your updates on the current conditions really helped set the tone I used on-air. When you started reporting impassable roads and cars getting stuck, I knew the urgency to get people off the roads was justified.

It was also nice to see Oklahomans helping each. Many of you were volunteering to help in any way possible and passing along whatever information you had, either first hand or from family and friends.

Let’s keep the teamwork up during the next storm.

Thanks again…

Rusty McCranie

Now That’s Crazy..but..kinda cool
December 26, 2009

-Damon

A Creative NWS Discussion
December 26, 2009

Every day the National Weather Service will issue a weather discussion on what they think will happen. Most are usually filled with lots of weather jargon, but this blog from The National Weather Service in Lubbock was a little creative..enjoy../..

Merry Christmas!

LONG TERM…
IT IS THE MORNING OF CHRISTMAS AND I AM BACK IN THE CHAIR
TO BRING YOU THE LONG-TERM DISCUSSION WITH A BIT OF CHRISTMAS FLAIR.
THE MAIN STORM IS PAST AND WHAT SNOW WILL REMAIN ON THE GROUND
WILL DETERMINE HOW TEMPERATURES MANAGE TO REBOUND.

THE CLOSED LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE OUT
AND NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY ISN/T IN DOUBT.
ALL THESE CONDITIONS TOGETHER WILL LIKELY KEEP TEMPERATURES COOL
SO GOING ON THE COLD SIDE OF MOS TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE RULE.

TEMPERATURES STAY COOL WITH MID TO UPPER 40S FOR HIGHS
AND LOWS IN THE TEENS TO NEAR 20 IS WHAT I CAN SURMISE.
ANOTHER WEAK FRONT SUNDAY KEEPS WARM AIR AT BAY
BUT CHANGES ARE ON THE HORIZON STARTING EARLY ON MONDAY.

A DEEPENING TROF IN THE WEST WILL CHANGE THE FLOW UPSTAIRS
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT BY LATE MONDAY IS WHAT THE NWP DECLARES.
RETURN FLOW TRIES TO SET UP AS THE TROF PUSHES EAST
AND I REMAIN UNSURE HOW MUCH MOISTURE THE GULF WILL RELEASE.

THE TIMING REMAINS SIMILAR BUT WITH A WEAKER APPROACHING TROF
WILL IT REMAIN JUST AS WEAK OR WILL IT CUT OFF?
I HAVE MY DOUBTS BASED ON MODEL PERFORMANCES THIS LAST TIME
FEW CHANGES WERE MADE EXCEPT TO NICKLE AND DIME.

POPS REMAIN LOW FOR TUESDAY INTO MIDWEEK…
AND I WARMED TEMPERATURES A BIT AS MODELS REMAIN QUITE OBLIQUE.
SNOW COULD FALL EARLY THEN SWITCH TO A MIX OR ALL RAIN…
THE RIGHT FORECAST THIS FAR OUT REALLY IS QUITE A PAIN.

COOLER WEATHER WILL SLIDE IN AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM
BUT THE MODELS DIVERGE AFTERWORDS…THEY JUST WON/T CONFORM.
THURSDAY THE TROF AXIS IS OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS
BUT DIFFERENCES IN SURFACE WINDS ARE CAUSING ME GREAT PAINS.

NORTHERLY IN THE EURO BUT WESTERLY IN THE OTHER TWO…
GFS AND CANADIAN FAVOR WARMER SO I WILL WAIT AND REVIEW.
ANOTHER STRONG TROF THURSDAY THE EURO IS STARTING TO MAKE…
FAVORING COOLER TEMPERATURES WHICH HOPEFULLY ISN/T A MISTAKE.

THE LAST THE DAYS OF THE FORECAST WILL BE LEFT COOL AND DRY
TO SEE HOW THE MODELS CHANGE…FLIP-FLOP…AND TRY TO COMPLY.

LITTLE SLEEP I HAVE HAD AS SHOWN BY MY RED EYES…
SO IF I HAVE LEFT SOMETHING OUT I DO APOLOGIZE.
WE STRIVE TO DO OUR BEST IN ALL THAT WE DO
EVEN THOUGH THE SCHEDULE IS STRANGE AND OUR SLEEP IS ASKEW.

FORECASTING IS FUN FOR MY FELLOW FORECASTERS AND I…
THE SHIFT WORK IS HARD WHICH I CANNOT DENY.
BUT WE ARE HERE TO SERVE YOU AND WILL CLOSE OUT AS I CITE
MERRY CHRISTMAS FROM NWS LUBBOCK AND TO ALL A GOOD NIGHT!

-JORDAN

posted by DAMON LANE

Snow Across America
December 26, 2009

It’s not often you see a map like this, this much snow across North America…nearly 75% of the states are covered in snow!

-Damon