UPDATE: Alex and Oklahoma

If you have been reading these blogs, then you are well aware that on Monday, the models were hinting that the track of Alex, what’s left of it, were likely going to cross right over Oklahoma on July 4th, bringing with it the threat for heavy rain. Now, things look a little more calm out there. Here is the latest spaghetti model that overlays the models on top of each other to show you where the storm is likely to head.

As high pressure builds in across The Southern Plains, the track of Alex, as of right now, is to stay in Mexico before getting caught up in the upper level flow of the atmosphere and becoming a disturbance producing a few hit and miss storms as it moves north and then back across The United States. There is still a chance of rain for Sunday, but the threat is low and certainly not one that I would cancel any outdoor activities for. And yes, this forecast could still change.. but remember that as a storm moves closer to land, we begin to gain more valuable information that makes the track of the storm more credible.


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