Beyond The Cone of Uncertainty

Every time a storm forms, The National Hurricane Center issues a storm track that contains a “cone of uncertainty”. But, why is there such a thing ? It’s quite simple, because of situations that we are getting ready to deal with. For Oklahomans, it’s just your typical cold front, but for those along The East Coast, it’s more than just a blue line with barbs on the weather map.Why? Because the speed of this front will make a world of difference in whether Earl makes landfall, or if it never touches US soil. I’ll explain:

Let’s say that this cold front decides to slow down some, this would likely be a worst case scenario as it would play out something like this:

A landfalling hurricane in the U.S.. Again, this would be if the cold front slowed down some. Now, let’s assume that the front speeds up, then what? Well, good news!

If the front speeds up, the hurricane never makes landfall in The United States (perhaps somewhere farther north in Canada) saving millions of dollars in tourism money for Labor Day and damage. Either or, many people along The East Coast will be paying just as much attention to a dangerous hurricane as they will to a cold front moving across The Central Plains.



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