Rain Chances are Here…so is the Chance for Severe Weather

We haven’t had measurable rain since September 23rd in Oklahoma City. We may get some as soon as Sunday evening. A frontal boundary which has stalled over northwest Oklahoma will strengthen a bit overnight. An upper-low currently over northern Nebraska will continue to slowly move south over the next several days. As waves move and rotate around the upper-low, the air will destabilize north of, and along the front. Capping could hinder development, but the front should act as a focal point to help initiate storm chances in the northwest part of the state by late afternoon. The chance for severe storms will move south and east over the evening hours.

 

Large hail and damaging winds will be the main threats. I believe this severe threat to be isolated in nature, but there could be some rowdy storms. The best chance for the OKC metro area will be late Sunday into the morning hours of Monday. Additional storms will develop in southeast Oklahoma Monday afternoon in the warm sector of the storm system, so of those could be severe as well.

 

While we have a threat for some severe storms, most of us should avoid that and see some very beneficial rain.

Rusty

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