The First Moderate Risk…

It’s hard to imagine that 2 weeks ago, we were talking about WINTER STORM WARNINGS, and now we’re talking about severe weather. And while there are no MODERATE RISK areas for this weeks severe threat yet, it got us thinking about when we typically average our first MODERATE RISK day. I was amazed to find out that in the last 6 years, there is no set date really. Check this out:

We barely made it into 2006, when we had our first MODERATE RISK for severe storms. In 2007,2008 and 2009, we bounced back and forth between January and February on when we had our first MODERATE RISK. And then there was last year when we went late into the year before we had a MODERATE RISK. April 22nd to be exact, which came in for Western Oklahoma. On that day, most of the activity was in The Texas Panhandle, Eastern Colorado, Southwestern Kansas and extreme Western Oklahoma. Enid measured a wind gust of 88 mph. Could this years first MODERATE RISK day come on February 24th? We’ll have to wait and see…

-Damon

 

 

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One Response

  1. Here’s a spatial map and text of the average date of the first moderate and high risks from 1990 to 2008.

    http://www.patricktmarsh.com/2011/02/aotw-storm-prediction-center-moderate-high-risks/

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