Wednesday Severe Threat

The potential for a severe weather event is now increasing across the state for Wednesday afternoon as more data becomes available. Thus, The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded the risk area for parts of Oklahoma (Oklahoma City Metro included) from SLIGHT RISK to MODERATE RISK.

Cloud cover may be somewhat thick early Wednesday morning as moisture from the previous nights storms linger. But, as we head later into the morning, cloud cover may break up enough and by early afternoon, Western Oklahoma should see a decent amount of sunshine. Enough to help with the instability and get temperatures warming. Thus, storms could fire in the western part of the state between 2:00pm-4:00pm and then begin to track east towards Central Oklahoma. Arrival time into The Metro may be around 5:00pm or so.

Supercell thunderstorms are a good bet, and there could be quite a few of them out there that line up from Kansas to Texas. Large hail, damaging winds and tornadoes. Storms should be east of The Metro during the mid-evening hours. Make sure your shelters are cleaned out. There is a very good chance that we’ll have a TORNADO WATCH posted tomorrow.

-Damon

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6 Responses

  1. Damon,

    How does tomorrow’s threat look compared to that of May 10th of last year? Or is that an unfair question to ask at this point?

    Kaye

    • Kaye, not even close. – Damon

      • @Damon- I don’t understand your response to Kaye. It’s not even close in what way? Looks better? Worse? Or were you replying to her question about it being unfair to ask? I am so confused…

      • Hey Jill, by that I mean that the severe weather outbreak will not even be close to what we had last year. This looks to be less of a threat than May 10th
        -Damon

  2. Damon,

    That’s good to know. I’m severe weather averse!

    Thank you,

    Kaye

  3. The May 10th 2010 setup was more intense than what tomorrow’s will be. The upper-level winds were stronger, and there were higher helicity values. (High helicity values are indicative of an elevated tornado threat.) We could still see some tornadoes across Texas and Oklahoma tomorrow afternoon and evening, nonetheless. Just not expecting a High Risk event with significant/violent tornadoes.

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